cover
Contact Name
-
Contact Email
-
Phone
-
Journal Mail Official
-
Editorial Address
-
Location
Kab. badung,
Bali
INDONESIA
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan
Published by Universitas Udayana
ISSN : 23018968     EISSN : 23030186     DOI : -
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan is a journal that is focused as an empirical means of publication of scientific papers with emphasis contents of the article on the use of quantitative analysis tools (econometrics, parametric and non-parametric statistics, descriptive statistics, input-output, CGE, etc.) in studies of economic and social.
Articles 86 Documents
Pengaruh Hari Raya Galungan Pada Seasonal Adjustment IHK dan Penentuan Komoditas Utama Yang Mempengaruhi Inflasi di Provinsi Bali: Analisis ARIMA Arini, Putu Simpen; Bendesa, I Komang Gde
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan Vol. 5, No. 2, Agustus 2012 (pp. 79-150)
Publisher : Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan

Show Abstract | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Inflation is one of macroeconomic indicators that show a rise of prices in the general level of goods and services over a period of time. The research conducted by Bank Indonesia in 2003 and 2004 show that the largest component that determine the inflation was people’s expectation. One of the required information to controling inflation expectation is the prediction of future inflation and the main commodity that make a big contribution to inflation. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data use to prediction of future inflation rate. Forecasting the time series data of CPI must be preceded with seasonal adjustment to reduce a seasonal component in time series data. Seasonal component which is tested in this study is Galungan (one of Balinese’s big ceremony). This is based on fact that the majority of Balinese are Hindust. Data which used in this research are Consumer Price Index (CPI), inflation rate, commodity price index, producer prices, and consumer prices. The method which used to seasonal adjusted is X-12 ARIMA and the method which used to forecast is SARIMA. Modus method and the principal component analysis are use to determine the main commodity which make an influence to Bali’s inflation. The results of this research are: (1) Galungan has unsignificant result as seasonal component to effect the Bali’s CPI, (2) The forecast for Bali’s inflation rate in 2012 is 6,23 percent, and (3) The main commodity that has a big contribution to influence the Bali’s inflation rate is rice.  
Analisis Faktor-faktor Yang Berpengaruh Terhadap Pengentasan Kemiskinan Di Bali: Analisis FEM Data Panel Sri Budhi, Made Kembar
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan Vol. 6, No. 1, Februari 2013 (pp. 1-70)
Publisher : Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan

Show Abstract | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Poverty is a macroeconomic pathology that faced by all countries in the world including Indonesia. Bali as a part of Indonesia will also face the same problem. Based on BPS data in 2010, Bali has 174.900 people who life in poor condition, which is 4,88 percent of all residence. High economic growth (GDRP growth) that have achieved cannot significantly reduce number of poor people. This study analyzed the impact of education program, number of population, GDRP, share of agricultural sector, and share of industry sector toward poverty in Bali. The analysis using panel data of nine city/districts from 2006 to 2009, and estimated using Fixed Effect Model. The results show that the percentages of poor people who graduate from the nine-year education program not significantly reduce poverty. Number of population, GDRP, and share of agricultural sector has positive and significant effect toward poverty; meanwhile share of industry sector has negative and significant effect toward poverty.
Kajian Pengelolaan Keuangan Daerah Kabupaten Jayapura Pada Era Otonomi Khusus Hutajulu, Halomoan; Sanggrangbano, Agustina; Bonay, Antonia K.
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan Vol. 5, No. 2, Agustus 2012 (pp. 79-150)
Publisher : Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan

Show Abstract | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Ineffectiveness of regional financial management will certainly lead to the implementation of regional development are not optimal. Depart from the concept in mind, it is interesting to examine and analyze the issue of how to measure the effectiveness of financial management in the Jayapura District on the Special Autonomy Era. The analysis result showed that generally, area of financial management in Jayapura District running less effective. Other than that the amount of contributions of the fund balance at the regional income shows high dependency of revenue sharing. The expenditure side tends to minimize the increase in regular budget expenditure for development (public), hence the macro does not much affect the acceleration of economic development. The budget deficit system will optimize development in three ways. First, the governments efforts to optimize the internal resources possessed to reduce dependency on fund balance by mapping and restructuring local revenue. Second, the government must set clear priorities of regional development budget allocation according to the concept of value for money. Third, the budget deficit or surplus principle for the government is an innovative way for any action to encourage productive economic activity.
Interaksi Antara Indikator Moneter Dan Indikator Makroekonomi di Indonesia Tahun 2005 – 2010 Cahyadin, Malik; Awirya, Agni Alam
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan Vol. 5, No. 2, Agustus 2012 (pp. 79-150)
Publisher : Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan

Show Abstract | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

The objective of this research is to analyze the interaction (causality) and the interconectivity (correlation) between monetary and macroeconomy indicators, using two categorized data: monetary block and macroeconomy block from 2005 to 2010. The method which used to analyze are Granger causality and Correlation method. The results of this research are: (1) monetary indicators that have causality interaction to macroeconomy indicators from 2005 to 2010 are: BI rate with P, BI rate with X, ER with GPDB, ER with M, Money Supply with P, Money Supply with UE, inflation with P, inflation with X; (2) monetary indicators that have a strong correlation to macroeconomy indicators from 2005 to 2010 are: BI rate with M, BI rate with UE, BI Rate with X, inflation with UE, Money Supply with M, Money Supply with P, Money Supply with UE and Money Supply with X.
Konsentrasi Ekspor Provinsi Jawa Tengah Rejekiningsih, Tri Wahyu
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan Vol. 5, No. 2, Agustus 2012 (pp. 79-150)
Publisher : Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan

Show Abstract | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

The research objective was to identify the export focus of Central Java Province, in commodities side and market side. The data which used are secondary data which had been published by BPS and other source which have linkage. The research objects was the amount and export value of Central Java Province, which consists of some kinds of commodities and the destination countries, on 2001-2009. The analysis revealed that there are five dominant comodities of Central Java province export, they are: threads and textile industry; other industries; BBM; wood industry; cork and straw; and cattle breeding. The threads and textile industry comodity was become the export concentration. Other that, also revealed that there are five export destination countries, they are : USA; Japan; Singapore; Germany; and Republic of Korea, and the USA become the market concentration of Central Java province exports. Based on the identification, threads and textile industry consist of 52 goods, and has large either amount or export value. So if compared with other export comodities, then threads and textile industry comodity dominant the Central Java province’s exports. While USA’s market dominants export destination of Central Java province, because based on the data from BPS known that export to USA includes 6 (six) comodities, which are: threads and textile industry; machine industry, electricity and electronic; fur and fur industry; wood industry; cork and straw; cattle breeding; and other industries.
Partisipasi Tenaga Kerja Perempuan dalam Meningkatkan Pendapatan Keluarga Dewi, Putu Martini
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan Vol. 5, No. 2, Agustus 2012 (pp. 79-150)
Publisher : Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan

Show Abstract | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Women in a household beside as a wife, she also acts as a family manager. Unemployed spouse, low income, high number of family members, and spare time, are some of the reasons for women to involve in workfield. This paper employed the OLS method to investigate the impact of age, work hours, educational level, and number of children toward family income. The OLS estimates that all variables are significant to determine the family income. Age variable was indicate negative sign meanwhile the others are positive.
Evaluasi Dampak Kredit Mikro Terhadap Kesejahteraan Rumah Tangga di Indonesia: Analisa Data Panel Setyari, Ni Putu Wiwin
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan Vol. 5, No. 2, Agustus 2012 (pp. 79-150)
Publisher : Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan

Show Abstract | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

The objective of the research was to evaluate the impact of micro-cridit impact towartd houshold prosperity in Indonesia. Nowadays, many micro-finance researches are focused on programes based on the Bangladesh Grameen Bank programes and its innovation, specialy credit for women, meanwhile the empirical evidence concerning the impact and nature of the credit has not been well presented. The acknowledgment of the credit benefits by Indonesian Government was indicated by launch the microfinance years in 2005. The data, which used in the research, is the IFLS 3 and IFLS 4. The fixed effect methode revealed that micro credit have positive and significant impact toward household prosperity in Indonesia. The positive impact was indicated by the increasing amount of percapita expenditure and labor supply from the treated household. The research also found that childrend education level has not significant effect and indicated adverse effect instead.
Analisis Ekonomi Kegiatan Penyuluhan Tentang Penerapan System Of Rice Intensification (SRI) di Tujuh Kabupaten Provinsi Bali: Analisis SEM Adi Putra, I Gede Setiawan
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan Vol. 5, No. 2, Agustus 2012 (pp. 79-150)
Publisher : Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan

Show Abstract | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Despite the SRI’s higher yield potential, the Subak member rice farmers are still reluctant to adopt this new way of cultivating rice. In about five years since its introduction to Bali, only 288 rice farmers have adopted it. This slow rate of adoption became a problem worth to investigate. In this conjunction, this study attempted to disclose the extent of SRI adoption amongst these farmers, and to explain how factors such as farmer’s personal characteristics, perceptions about SRI, attitudes toward SRI, Self-Reliance, and Extension workers’ as well as the heads of Subak competencies jointly affected the adoption behavior of the Balinese rice farmers. To attain these objectives an ex post facto study was designed. A random sample of 104 rice farmers was thereafter selected and interviewed using a structured questionnaire. Data were then analyzed by employing the Structural Equation Model (SEM) procedure with the Lisrel Version 8.3 program. The study concluded that the extent of adoption of the 9 components of SRI amongst the Balinese rice farmers were still diverse, and the intensity of the above factors’ effects on the SRI adoption amongst the Balinese rice farmers ranged from weak to moderate.
Pengaruh Perkembangan Sektor Perdagangan, Hotel Dan Restoran Kota Bandung Terhadap Sektor Pertanian Daerah Lainnya di Jawa Barat Dariah, Atih Rohaeti; Sundaya, Yuhka
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan Vol. 5, No. 2, Agustus 2012 (pp. 79-150)
Publisher : Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan

Show Abstract | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

This paper studied the influence of trade, hotels and restaurants (THR) sector growth of Bandung to other agricultural area in West Java Province. It will reflect the urban and rural economic linkages through production linkages. The methods used are simultaneous equations which are estimated by Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) technique, because each district/city agricultural GDRP described by the same explanatory variables i.e: trade, hotels and restaurants of Bandung. The results are quite adequate for interpretation, reflected in the sign coefficient score responding to the hypothesis, the amount of R2, and t test statistic with the amount of under 0.5. The conclusion indicated that the trade, hotels and restaurants of Bandung were more encourage agricultural area that located far enough from Bandung city, such as Garut, Tasikmalaya, Subang, Cianjur, Sukabumi, Indramayu and Cirebon District. All districts are center of production of crops, livestock and fisheries.
Dampak Program Bantuan Operasional Sekolah (BOS)Terhadap Tingkat Putus Sekolah Di Indonesia: Analisis DID Kharisma, Bayu
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan Vol. 6, No. 1, Februari 2013 (pp. 1-70)
Publisher : Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan

Show Abstract | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the impact of school operational assistance (BOS) program on the dropout rate of school during the post-rising fuel prices using difference in difference (DID) approach. BOS program is a further development of the social safety net programs (JPS) education of the government in the period of 1998-2003 and a reduction in fuel subsidy compensation program implemented over 2003-2005. The results showed that the impact of BOS on the dropout rate of students aged 7-15 years, during the period investigated in this study was lower than those who did not receive BOS fund, but it was not statistically significant. Meanwhile, if the account of the research is to be limited to the influence of students aged 16-20 years who had previously received the benefit of  BOS, it shows that BOS program had a positive influence to the dropout rates of school. However, children aged 16-20 years who had not previously received benefits BOS program have negatively affect to the dropout rates of school. Based on this fact, the benefit of the BOS proram following the fuel price hike in Indonesia during the research  period did not seem to be particularly effective in reducing the dropout rates of school.