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Journal : Jurnal ILMU DASAR

Forecasting Interest Rate of Bank Indonesia Certificate Based on Multivariate Fuzzy Time Series Data Abadi, Agus Maman; Subanar, Subanar; Widodo, Widodo; Saleh, Samsubar
Jurnal ILMU DASAR Vol 11, No 2 (2010)
Publisher : Fakultas MIPA Universitas Jember

Show Abstract | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (86.122 KB)

Abstract

The aim of this research is to establish a model for forecasting interest rate of Bank Indonesia Certificate (BIC)based on six-factors one-order fuzzy time series data where the main factor is interest rate of BIC and thesecondary factors are interest rate of deposit, exchange rate, deposit supply, inflation rate and money supply.Steps to forecasting interest rate of BIC are based on Wang’s method. The result of this research is thatprediction of interest rate of BIC using multivariate fuzzy time series model has higher accuracy than that usingneural network method with average forecasting error 3.1256% and MSE value = 0.2699.Keywords: Fuzzy set, fuzzy time series, forecasting, interest rate of BIC
Forecasting Interest Rate of Bank Indonesia Certificate Based on Multivariate Fuzzy Time Series Data Abadi, Agus Maman; Subanar, Subanar; Widodo, Widodo; Saleh, Samsubar
Jurnal ILMU DASAR Vol 11 No 2 (2010)
Publisher : Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Universitas Jember

Show Abstract | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (86.122 KB)

Abstract

The aim of this research is to establish a model for forecasting interest rate of Bank Indonesia Certificate (BIC)based on six-factors one-order fuzzy time series data where the main factor is interest rate of BIC and thesecondary factors are interest rate of deposit, exchange rate, deposit supply, inflation rate and money supply.Steps to forecasting interest rate of BIC are based on Wang’s method. The result of this research is thatprediction of interest rate of BIC using multivariate fuzzy time series model has higher accuracy than that usingneural network method with average forecasting error 3.1256% and MSE value = 0.2699.
Co-Authors Abdul Ghofur Abdul Hakim Abu Bakar, Kosasih Ali Achdia Supriadidjaja Achdia Supriadidjaya, Achdia Adianto, Dwi Priyo Aditia Wardana, Aditia Aditiawardana Aditiawardana, Aditiawardana Aditya Kurniawan Admiasri, Admiasri Agung Sosiawan, Agung Agus Irianto Agus Maman Abadi Agus Ridwan Ahmad Faizal Ahmad Zakarsyi Aji, Nusa Suindrata Akhmad Rifai Alakhyar, Alakhyar Ali Agus Andriansyah, Rian Anggoro Tri Mursito Anindya Putri Permatasari, Anindya Putri Anita Yuliyanti Anthoni Sulthan Harahap, Anthoni Sulthan Ardityo R Ardhany, Ardityo R Ardyanto, Wisnu Aris Slamet Widodo, Aris Slamet Aristia, Firda Artaria Tjempakasari, Artaria Asih Kurniawati Bahri, Muadin Wasis Saeful Bambang Priadi Bangsawan, Merah Bela Yunita, Bela Bima, Ahmad Fadhil Chandra Irwanadi Mohani, Chandra Irwanadi Chandra Irwanadi, Chandra chieko Hamada, chieko Darmawan Setijanto, Darmawan Dea, Yolanda Dinarka Dedek Kusvianti Dewi, Evita Dewi, Rafiqa Dhonny, Chusniati Diana Wibowo, Diana Dini Dinarty, Dini Djamilah Djamilah, Djamilah Djanggan Sargowo DJOKO PRIJONO Djoko Santoso Dwi Ertiningsih Dwi Hanto Dwi Sarbini Dwidjono Hadi Darwanto edy susanto Edy Waliyo Efi Toding Tondok Endah Kusuma Rastini Endang Caturini Sulistyowati Erlangga, Bagus D. Evan P. Ramdan Fahrurrozi Fahrurrozi Fajar Wahyono Faradila, Annisa Fatma Hetami Febbiyanti, Tri Rappani FETRINA OKTAVIA Fora, Rony HR Frederikus Dian Indrastomo, Frederikus Dian Ganjar Samudro Ghaitsa, Ghaitsa Gusti Ayu Kade Sutariati Gusti Gina Permata Sari, Gusti Gina Hardina, dini Hasan, Husni Hendra Grandis Hendro Pramono I Gde Sukadana I Nengah Tanu K Ichiyu Shou, Ichiyu Ichrom Nahzi, Muhammad Yanuar Idris HM Noor, Idris HM Iflah, Dinie Muthia Imam Sujadi Imran, Al Ichlas Indratiningsih Indratiningsih, Indratiningsih Irawan Wisnu Wardhana Irmawati Irmawati Jamhari Jamhari Jangkung Handoyo Mulyo Joko Sukoyo Kafaah Estancia komalaningrat, devi ayu Kunimi Maeda, Kunimi Kuswanhadi Kuswanhadi, Kuswanhadi Laifa Rahmawati, Laifa Lasse, David Aroschi Lies Mira Yusiati Listari, Ariya Luthfi, Muhammad Ja'far Luthfi, Muhammad Jafar Luthfi, Muhammad Ja’far M Thaha, M M. Ulum Gani Marasabessy, Muhammad Irfan Maria Ulfa Putri Yoeshinda Melisa Melisa Merdeko Utomo, Verry Hendarto Mimien Henie Irawati Al-Muhdar, Mimien Henie Irawati Mitsumine Fukui, Mitsumine MOCHAMAD YUSUF MOCHAMMAD THAHA Moh. Yogiantoro, Moh. Mohamad Amin Mohammad Saifur Rohman MUHAMAD SYUKUR Muhammad Syukur Muhammad Yoga Arie Yunanto, Muhammad Yoga Muharam, Syamsul Rizal Muhibin, Sohib Muhammad Mukhamad Romli Muntasir, Adib Murhan, Al Mu’awanah, Frida Rosidatul Naimatun Munawaroh, Naimatun Nandang Kosasih Ananda Ngadenin Ngadenin Ninda Sahriyani Noormantama, Hidan Normalita, Normalita Nugraha, Bayu Setya Aji Nukhan Wicaksono Pribadi, Nukhan Wicaksono Nunuk Mardiana, Nunuk Nur'afifah, Martha Marshynta Prabowo, Catur Hadi pranawa pranawa, pranawa Pratiwi, Galuh Ayu Puspita, Ariati Dina R.F, Rony Haendra Rina Rina Riyadi Riyadi Rizal Fahmi Bachtiar, Rizal Fahmi Rizki Hadi, Rizki Rosihan Adhani, Rosihan Rusdian Noor Dermawan, Rusdian Noor Ryanti W. Savitri Samsubar Saleh Sari, Dia Novita Satoshi Horikoshi, Satoshi SATRIYAS ILYAS Siburian, Theresia Siti Fatimah Siti Lestari soewanto soewanto, soewanto Solihin Solihin SRI HENDRASTUTI HIDAYAT Subanar Subanar Subari Subari SUDARSONO SUDARSONO SUDIRMAN YAHYA SUMADI SUMADI Sumardi Sumardi Sumardino Sumardino Sunarso Sunarso Supanjani, Supanjani Suparno, Nano Surya Putra, Ahmad Romadhoni Suryandari, Retno SURYO WIYONO Susanti Mugi Lestari Sutrisno sutrisno Syaidatul Rosidah Tanu, Lenny Octaviani Teguh Budiharjo, Teguh Theresia Ika Purwantiningsih Titi A W Titiek Siti Yuliani Toni Kus Indratno, Toni Kus Tri P Asmarawati, Tri P Tridjoko Wisnu Murti Triyani, Devi Umaeza, Agus Wahyudi W. Parnadi Wahyuni, Dina Warijan Warijan Waslaluddin Waslaluddin Wayan Tunas Artama Weni Willia WENNY PUTRI NILAMSARI, WENNY PUTRI Widianto, Eri Widodo, Hermawan Setyo Willy Hermawan, Willy Winarno Winarno Wiwik Utami Wiwik Wijaningsih, Wiwik Yasim, Ahmad Yasuhiko Tomino, Yasuhiko Yuni Suranindyah, Yuni Yuntara, Rendi YUSNITA YUSNITA Yuwantono, Naufal Zakia, Rahma zumaroh, siti