Efrizal Syofyan
Program Studi Akuntansi Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Negeri Padang

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Journal : Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi

KONSUMSI DAN INFLASI INDONESIA Muh.Nur, Ermon; Amar, Syamsul; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 1 (2012)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

AbstractThis study aims to analyze and observes (1) the effect of inflation, disposable income, interest rates and the previous period consumption to  inflation in Indonesia. (2) the effect   of consumption, interest rate and excange rates and the money supply to Indonesia Inflation. The type of research is descriptive and associative studies. The type of data that used is documentary data, the source of data is secondary data sources.   data is in   the form of time series  from first quarter of 2000 – to fourth quarter of 2010. This study utilize a simultaneous   equation model analysis by means of two stages Least Squared method (TSLS). Endogenous   variable in this study is the consumption and inflation. While the eksogen variable is the excange rate,money supply,interest rates disposable income, and previous period consumption. The study yields  conclusion that (1)inflation,disposable income, interest rates and the previous period   consumption have a significant effect on consumtion in Indonesia. In a way that. If there is a decrease of inflation, disposable income and previous consumption have increased the consumption in Indonesia will increase. Conversely, if there is an increasing   in consumtion, excange rate (depreciation) and the money supply while the interest rates go down then it will impact   an increase in inflation in Indonesia. Vice versa if there is a decrease of consumption, exchange rate (appreciation) and the money supply, while the interest rates rise  it will have an impact on reducing  Indonesia inflation. Keywords: inflation, consumption, disposable income, interest rates and the consumption of the previous period, exchange rate, and the money supply.
ANALISIS PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN PENGELUARAN PEMBANGUNAN DI KABUPATEN AGAM Sufyeti, Sufyeti; Aimon, Hasdi; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 1 (2012)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT This study aims to determine and  analyze (1) the effect of private investment, labor, and development expenditure to  economic growth in Agam regency.(2)  the effect of labor,  inflation,economic growth and development expenditures in agam regency. This type of of research is descriptive and associative  studies. While the data type is documentary data, the source data is secondary data sources and in the form  of time series from 1980 to 2009. This study utilize a model of simultaneous equations by means of indirect least square (ILS). Endogeneous variables in this study is  economic growth and development expenditrue. While the exsogen variable are  private investment,labor and inflation. Based on these results. It is recomended to agam goverment to make regulation for stimulating investor to put investement in agam regency. The method is to simplify the bureaucracy process for  investment, and promote that agam   regency is a promising  region to invest. It is neccessary for agam local government to  provide training and education for the workforce in agam regency therefore the workforce will work in accordance with their respective expertise.  Keywords:  Development expenditure,  economic growth,  inflation,  private investment, labor
ANALISIS PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI, INVESTASI, DAN KONSUMSI DI INDONESIA Ernita, Dewi; Amar, Syamsul; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 1, No 2 (2013)
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

ABSTRACT This study aims to analyze (1) Effect of consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports to economic growth in Indonesia, (2) Effect of interest rates, inflation, and economic growth to investment in Indonesia, (3) Effect of disposable income, consumption previously, and the interest  rate on consumption in Indonesia. Data in the form of time series of the first quarter of 2001 to the fourth quarter of 2010. This study using a simultaneous equations model analysis in the form of Two Stage Least Square (2 SLS). The research concludes that (1) consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports have a significant and positive impact on economic growth in Indonesia. If the consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports increased, economic growth will also increase. (2) Interest rates have a significant and negative effect on investment in Indonesia, while inflation is significant and negative effect on investment in Indonesia. If interest  rates and inflation down the investment will rise, while economic growth in significant and positive impact on investment in Indonesia. (3) Disposable income and consumption before significant positive impact on consumption in Indonesia. If disposable income and consumption increases, consumer spending earlier will also increase. And interest rates have a significant negative effect on consumption in Indonesia. Keywords : Government Spending, Net Exports, Interest Rates, inflation,   Disposable Income, Consumption Previously,  Economic Growth,  Investment, and Consumption
ANALISIS SERTA PERENCANAAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN INVESTASI DI SUMATERA BARAT Yola Sastri, Ridha; Aimon, Hasdi; Syofyan, efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 03 (2013): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This article focused on analyze (1) Effect of consumption, invesment, government spending and net export on the economics growth in West Sumatera. (2) Effect of economics growth, interest rate and money supply on the invesment in West Sumatera. (3) Planning of  the economics growth and investment about 2013-2017. Data used time series of (I year kuartal 2001– IV year kuartal 2010). This article use analyzer model equation of simultaneous with method of Two Stage Least Squared (TSLS). The result of research concludes that (1) the consumption have a significant and positive impact on the economics growth, invesment have significant and positive impact on the economics growth, government spending rates significantly and positive on the economics growth and net export have a significant and positive impact on the economics growth in West Sumatera. (2) the economics growth have a significant and positive impact on the invesment, interest rate have a significant and positive impact on the invesment and money supply have a significant and positive impact on the invesment in West Sumatera.(3)Prospect of output and employment inj West Sumatera 2013-2015 is positive. Keywords : Economics Growth, Invesment, Consumption, Government Spending, Net Export, Interest Rate, Money Supply
ANALISIS SERTA PERENCANAAN OUTPUT DAN KESEMPATAN KERJA DI PROVINSI SUMATERA BARAT Martilova, Novera; Aimon, Hasdi; Syofyan, efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 03 (2013): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This article focused on analyze (1) Effect of investment, consumption, government expenditure and employment to the output in West Sumatera. (2) The influence of investment, wages, inflation, and output on the employment in west Sumatera (3). Prospect of output and employment in West Sumatera 2013-2020. Data used time series of (I year kuartal 2001 – IV year kuartal 2010). This article use analyzer model equation of simultaneous with method of Two Stage Least Squared (TSLS). The result of research concludes that (1) The investment have a significant and positive impact on the output, consumption have significant and positive impact on the output, government expenditure have significantly and positive on the output and employment have a significant and positive impact on the output in West Sumatera. (2) Investment, inflation, and output significantly influence the employment in West Sumatera. While the wages is significant and negative effect on employment in West Sumatera. (3) Prospect of output and employment in West Sumatera 2013-2020 is positive. Keywords: Output, Employment, Investment, Consumption, Government expenditur, Wages, and Inflation.
ANALISIS PENAWARAN AGREGAT DAN PERMINTAAN AGREGAT DI SUMATERA BARAT Rosya, Nilmadesri; Amar, Syamsul; Syofyan, efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 03 (2013): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui dan menganalisis (1) Pengaruh penawaran agregat, permintaan agregat, pengangguran, jumlah uang beredar, konsumsi dan suku bunga terhadap Inflasi di Sumatera Barat (2) Pengaruh  inflasi dan pengangguran terhadap penawaran agregat di Sumatera Barat  dan (3) Pengaruh inflasi, jumlah uang beredar, suku bunga, pengeluaran. Penelitian ini menggunakan alat analisis model persamaan simultan dengan metode Two Stage Least Square (TSLS). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa (1) Penawaran agregat, permintaan agregat, jumlah uang beredar, konsumsi dan suku bunga berpengaruh terhadap inflasi di Sumatera Barat. Sedangkan pengangguran tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap inflasi di Sumatera Barat. (2) Inflasi dan pengangguran berpengaruh terhadap penawaran agregat di Sumatera Barat. (3) Inflasi, jumlah uang beredar, suku bunga, pengeluaran pemerintah dan konsumsi berpengaruh signifikan terhadap permintaan agregat di Sumatera Barat. Sedangkan kurs tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap permintaan agregat di Sumatera Barat.
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PRODUKTIVITAS DAN TINGKAT PENGANGGURAN DI INDONESIA ME, Zulhanafi; Aimon, Hasdi; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 2, No 03 (2013): Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aimed to analyze the influence (1) education and health on labor productivity in Indonesia. (2) productivity, economic growth, investment, government spending, wages and inflation to the unemployment rate in Indonesia. This study uses simultaneous equation model analysis tools with Two Stages Least Squared method (TSLS) from the first quarter of 2000 - the fourth quarter of 2011. The research concludes that (1) health education and significant effect on productivity in Indonesia (2) produktivitias, economic growth, investment, government spending, and wages affect Indonesia´s unemployment rate significantly. However, no significant effect on the inflation rate of unemployment in Indonesia. Of research. be advised the government needs to improve the quality of education as well as the budget for public health. The government needs to increase income through employment or investment opening in Indonesia, especially in the real sector Keyword : Productivity, unemployment, education, health, economic growth, investment, government spending, wages and inflation.
ANALISIS FAKTOR – FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PENAWARAN DAN PERMINTAANTENAGA KERJA DI SUMATERA BARAT Noveda, Dirza; Aimon, Hasdi; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 3, No 6 (2015): Jurnal Kajian EKonomi
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This studyaimed toanalyzethe effect of(1) wages, population growth, labor force participation rate(LFPR) andunemploymenton labor supplyin West Sumatra. (2) labor supplyand labor demandon wages. (3) wages, investment, economyandproductivityof thelabor demandin West Sumatra. This research isdescriptiveandassociative. While thetype of datais datadocumentary, the datasourceis asecondary dataas well asdata in the formof time seriesofthe first quarterof 2002-the fourth quarter of2012.This study uses asimultaneousequation modelanalysis toolwithTwoStagesLeastSquaredmethod(TSLS).The study concluded that (1) wages, labor force participation rate (LFPR) and unemployment have a significant effect on labor supply in West Sumatra. However, population growth has no significant effect on labor supply in West Sumatra. (2) labor supply and labor demand affect wages in West Sumatra significantly. (3) Wages, investment, economy and productivity significantly influence the demand for labor in West Sumatra. Based on these results policies can be suggested that the government was asked to increase education and training for jobs that could only be done by men. The government needs to increase investment oriented to the labor intensive (labor intensive) by simplifying the licensing process, the necessary policies can actually synchronize between the interests of employers and unions in wage setting both the minimum wage regional, provincial or district / city.   Keywords :labor supply, labor demandand wages
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PENAWARAN DAN PERMINTAAN KREDIT MODAL KERJA PADA BANK UMUM DI SUMATERA BARAT Amelia, Noli; Aimon, Hasdi; Syofyan, Efrizal
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 4, No 7 (2015): JuRNAL KAJIAN EKONOMI
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aimed to analyzed (1). The effect of third party funds, risk of credit(NPL), and interest rate for credit suply of venture capital to the comercial bank in West Sumatera, (2). The effect of economics, interest rate, inflation, and kurs for credit demand  of venture capital to the comercial bank in West Sumatera, (3). The effect third party funds, risk of credit (NPL), economics, inflation, and kurs for interest rate of venture capital to the comercial bank in West Sumatera. This study included type of descriptive and asotiatif. Data in the form of time series of the first quarter of 2000 to te third quarter of 2014. This study using a simultaneous equations models analysis in form of Indirect Least Square (ILS). Endogen variables is credit suplay, credit demand, and interest rate. And eksogen variables is third party funds, risk of credit (NPL), economics, inflation and kurs. The research concludes that (1). third party funds, risk of credit (NPL), and interest rate have a significant effect on credit suply of venture capital to the comercial bank in West Sumatera, (2). Inflation and interst rate have a significant effect on credit demand of venture capital to the comercial bank in West Sumatera,while economic and kurs have not a significant effect on credit demand of venture capital to the comercial bank in West Sumatera. (3) Risk of credit (NPL), economics, inflation, and kurs have a significant effect for interest rate of venture capital to the comercial bank in West Sumatera, while third party funds have not a significant effect interest rate of venture capital to the comercial bank in West Sumatera.Keywords : credit suply, credit demand, interest rate, third party funds, risk of credit (NPL), economics, inflation, and kurs
ANALISIS FAKTOR - FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PRODUKTIVITAS TENAGA KERJA DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI SUMATERA BARAT Fitri, Irdas; Syofyan, Efrizal; Aimon, Hasdi
Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi Vol 4, No 7 (2015): JuRNAL KAJIAN EKONOMI
Publisher : Program Studi Magister Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aimed to analyze the effect of (1) public investment education sector, the health sector and public investment on labor productivity IPM West Sumatra (2) labor productivity, shopping areas, infrastructure and income inequality on economic growth of West Sumatra. This type of research is descriptive and associative. While this type of data is data documentary, source of data is secondary data as well as data in the form of data panel with 19 districts / cities from 2010 - 2013. This study uses a simultaneous equation model analysis tool with Indirect methods Stages Least Squared (ILS). The study concluded that (1) public investment education sector, the health sector and public investment IPM significant effect on labor productivity in West Sumatra. With the meaning of words, if public investment and public investment education sector increased health sector and accompanied by HDI is the better it would be the better labor productivity in the area. (2) shopping areas, infrastructure and income inequality affects economic growth in West Sumatra significantly. That is, the increase in shopping areas, improved infrastructure and declining inequality of income then this condition will lead to an increase in the economic growth. Based on these results the policies suggested the government may need to increase budget allocations for education and health. Good quality education will give a good effect on the mindset and behavior patterns of people of West Sumatra. With the increase in budget for health, the public will have better access to services and to health.