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The Implementation of Grey Forecasting Model for Forecast Result’s Food Crop Agricultural

Scientific Journal of Informatics Vol 3, No 2 (2016): November 2016
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang

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Abstract

The increasing of the needs of  food crops raised several issues related to land use. The  problems of land used caused by the lack of information related to productivity and eligibility used of land. The goal of this research is to implementation a model of Grey forecasting GM(1,1) to forecast agricultural production, especially in food crops. GM(1,1) is used to built a model with limited data samples and generate good forecasts for short libertine forecasts. This research uses data from the production of food crops for the 2004-2013 it can be calculated by using the model of GM (1,1). The results showed the model GM (1,1) can produce highly accurate forecasts, from the experimental results for pattern trends generate value ARPE 5.74% or accuracy of forecasts reached 94.26% in crop production.

Co-Authors AB Susanto Achmad Widodo Adi Priyo Wicaksono, Adi Priyo Agung Chandra Prasetya Agung Nugroho Setiawan, Agung Nugroho Agus Indarjo Agus Sulistiyo Agus Suyanto Agus Syafrudin Agus Triyanto Ahmad Syaify, Ahmad Aini Moeljono, Aini AL. Supartinah, AL. Andika Bagus Setiawan, Andika Bagus Andri Wahyu Septo Putra Anifatur Nurjannah, Anifatur Arbiyanti, Yossi Norma Arfian, Finty Ari Anshori, Ari Ari Suwondo Arief Suseno, Arief Arif Syaifuddin Arifin Budi Putro, Arifin Budi Arinianzah, Aldo Rizqi Aris Wijayanti Arista, Desi Arlien Siswanti Arnefia Mei Yusnida Asfan Muqtadir, Asfan Astuti, Anjar Ave Gierdo Alfaseno, Ave Gierdo Baliyan I, Baliyan Bambang Nugraha, Bambang Basuki Basuki Bayu Surarso Budi Setiawan Chrisna A Suryono Chrisna Adhi Suryono Cicilia Artitin Cynthia Damayanti Dadang Sukandar Dayyana, Surya Desi Sandra Sari Desie Dwi Wisudanti, Desie Dwi Dewi Agustina Dewi Sulistyaningrum Dhidik Prastiyanto Diana Layla Dimas Putra Anugrah, Dimas Putra Djoko Adi Widodo Donny Prasetyo Santoso, Donny Prasetyo Drajat Martianto Dwi Puji Adiana, Dwi Puji Edi Wibowo Edi Wibowo Kushartono Edy Junaidi Eka Miftakhul Jannah, Eka Miftakhul Eko Supraptono Emi Agustina, Emi Endah Setiyaningrum Endang Sri Susilo ENNY SUSWATI Ervia Yudiati Evi Setiawati Fatekurohman, Mohamat fatimah Fatimah Febriana Tirta Kirana, Febriana Tirta Fitri Mahardika Sari Frida Fallo Gatot Murti Wibowo, Gatot Murti Gatot Yulianto Gentur Handoyo Gigih Budhiawan Gunawan Widi Santosa Hadi Endrawati Harindra W Pradhana, Harindra W Harindra Wisnu Pradhana Haryati Haryati Hayat Maulana Heri Sugito Heri Sutanto Hernita Kusuma Wardani Hery Sulistyo JNS, Hery Sulistyo Hery Widijanto Hidayat, Syarief Thaufik Hilmi Trian Setyawan Indhana Sudiharto, Indhana Indri Trifiantari Irianiwati Irianiwati Irwani Irwani Isa Nurnusanto, Isa Isnaini Isnaini Ivan Nurizal Sakti Izah, Luluk Lailatul Jatmiko Endro Suseno Jauhari Syamsiyah Joko Winarno Juniyanto, Dimas Kamasita, Systriana Esi Kartini Sinaga Kesawa Sudarsih Khanif Pramusinto, Khanif Kharis, Muhamad Kusworo Adi Kusworowulan, Suryati Kwartarini Murdiastuti, Kwartarini Laela Meitasari, Laela Laska, Yulinda Lukman Hakim Mahda Veronika Maisi, Sri Malau, Rotua Mardiyono Mardiyono Margo Utomo Marsetyawan HNES, Marsetyawan Mediawati, Saskia Mefi Priba Sari, Mefi Priba Melo, Gabriella Imanuella Melyana Nurul Widyawati Menur Wahyu Pangestika, Menur Wahyu Mohamad Nadhif, Mohamad Muh. Yusuf Muhammad Arif Prasetyo Muhammad Arsyad Suyuti Muhammad Izzuddin Shofar Muhammad Zainuri Mujiyo Mujiyo Mulyanto Mulyanto Munarso Munarso Muthoifin Muthoifin, Muthoifin N. Euis Sutaningsih, N. Euis Nailatul Ilmi Nasronudin Nasronudin Niharul Annas Nirwani Soenardjo Nourobby Aulada, Nourobby Oky Dwi Nurhayati Oky Yuripa Pradana P. H, Aditya Praptiwi Praptiwi Prasetyo Nugroho Raden Ario Radini Sinta, Radini Ragil Saputra Rahayu Sapta S Rahmat Gernowo Rakhmat Syaefullah Ramadhan, Hazbina Fauqi Rani Gamawati, Rani Ratna Dwi Meilani, Ratna Dwi Retno Handayani Retno Hartati Ria Amitasari Ria Azizah Rieneke L Sela, Rieneke L Rini Riyanti Robby Eko Christanto Rudhi Pri, Rudhi Rudhi Pribadi Rusdi, Muh Sangkertadi Sangkertadi Satryo Adi Wibowo, Satryo Adi Setyaningsih, Erni Sharfina Sharfina, Sharfina Siti Fatimah Muis Soeharyo Hadisaputro Sri Budi Barunawati, Sri Budi Sri Huning Anwariningsih Sri Kusumastuti, Sri Sri Sedjati Sri Sukamta Sudadi Sudadi Sudibyo Sudibyo Sugeng Purbawanto Sugiyanto Sugiyanto Sukarnen Sukarnen, Sukarnen Sulistyo Warjono, Sulistyo Sumarno Sumarno Sumaryo Sumaryo Suntoro Suntoro Supriyanto Supriyanto Supriyati Supriyati Suroyo Suroyo Suwarto Suwarto Tatyantoro Andrasto Tika Retnowati Tri Saputra, Tri Valentino, Nico Vifaldi Agti, Vifaldi Vincensius Gunawan Wahyu Fredi Santoso Wahyu Setia Budi Widyatmani Sih Dewi Wilis Ari Setyati Yosafat Hermawan Trinugraha, Yosafat Hermawan Yudha Nurdian, Yudha Yuli Hermansyah, Yuli Yuningtyastuti, Gita Surya