Wahyu Ario Pratomo
Prodi S1 Ekonomi Pembangunan

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PERSEPSI MASYARAKAT TERHADAP PENGEMBANGAN KAWASAN EKONOMI KHUSUS SEI MANGKEI SEBAGAI KLASTER INDUSTRI Lingga, Doriani; Pratomo, Wahyu Ario
Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol. 1 No. 2 Januari 2013
Publisher : Departemen Ekonomi Pembangunan USU

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Abstract

The purpose of this research is to know the perception of societies to the development of Kawasan Ekonomi Khusus (KEK) Sei Mangkei as a cluster of industry. The analysis conducted in this study is a social-economy method by using 3 dimensions, which consists of the role of KEK Sei Mangkei in the development of social and economic based on investigation on the activity of PT Perkebunan Nusantara III up to now, analysis about the information dan transparency of the development of KEK Sei Mangkei, and analysis about the perception of societies about the development of KEK Sei Mangkei. The analysis is about the perception of societies comprises potency of Sei Mangkei as growth pole, relationship between KEK Sei Mangkei and social life of the societies, relationship between KEK Sei Mangkei and economic life of the societies and general perception. The analysis method uses the descriptive method, by issuing questionaires to 100 respondents surrounding the area.The result of this research shows that the PTPN III plays role in the social and economy development of local societies of Bosar Maligas District. It is realized in absorbtion of local labour and provision of facilities and infrastructures for societies. According to the greater part of respondents, the development of KEK Sei Mangkei which is now going on, is conducted transparently and involves local soceties to participate. In the perception of societies, Sei Mangkei is a potential to be a new economic growth pole by making the area becomes special economic region. They believe that the existence of SEZ Sei Mangkei will increase life standard of local societies of Bosar Maligas District. Almost all respondents agree that the development of KEK Sei Mangkei will give advantage to  progress of societies, especially in increasing of societies’ social-economic standard. To sum up, most of the societies agree with the development of KEK Sei Mangkei with their main expectation that KEK Sei Mangkei will use local labour as employment so the problem of unemployment can be solved. Keywords: Special Economic Zone, industry cluster, development of social and economic, growth pole, labour absorbtion.
ANALISIS PERMINTAAN KREDIT PADA USAHA MIKRO DAN KECIL DI KECAMATAN MEDAN JOHOR Felna, Taufan Achmad; Pratomo, Wahyu Ario
Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol. 1 No. 2 Januari 2013
Publisher : Departemen Ekonomi Pembangunan USU

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Abstract

The aim of this research is to analyze the factors that influencing micro entrepreneurs to ask loan from bank and to analyze the main factors that influencing their income. The data is obtained by direct interview and distributing questionnaires to 30 entrepreneurs in Subdistrict of Medan Johor. This research uses the descriptive method to reveal the profile of microenterprises and it also uses econometric analysis to the important factors to influence the income of entrepreneurs. The result shows that equity, credit and working hours influence entrepreneurs’ income. Keyword: micro enterprises, entrepreneur, entrepreneurship
ANALISIS KAUSALITAS DAN KOINTEGRASI ANTARA JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR, INFLASI, DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA Pratomo, Wahyu Ario
Jurnal Keuangan & Bisnis Program Studi Magister Manajemen Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Harapan Vol 2, No 2 (2010): Juli
Publisher : Yayasan Pendidikan Harapan

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Abstract

Economics of Indonesia experiences dynamics that is enough varies. From a period of goverment of finite new order before chartered investment counsel crisis, Indonesia chartered investment counsel experiences growth that is enough is height. But when Indonesia chartered investment counsel crisis reachs low point namely - 13,1%. After the year 1998, growth of Indonesia chartered investment counsel experiences repair, but is not able yet to reach situation of like before chartered investment counsel crisis. Various factors becomes growth impeller of chartered investment counsel between by it is amount of money supplies and inflation. This research tries analyses relation between money supply amounts, economic inflation and growth in Indonesia. Result of research indicates that existence of the relation of balance of either in short term and also on a long term or equally there is the relation of kointegrasi between variables applied in this research namely amount of money supplies, inflation, and chartered investment counsel growth.This research analyses the relation of causality and kointegrasi between money supply amounts, inflation, and economic growth in Indonesia either in short term and also on a long term during range of time 1970 - 2008. Analytical method applied in this research there are 2 type that is Cointegration test and Causality test. Based on result of testing of kointegrasi and Vector Error Correction Model ( VECM) shows existence of the relation of balance of either in short term and also on a long term or equally there is the relation of kointegrasi between variables applied in this research namely amount of money supplies, inflation, and chartered investment counsel growth. While through testing of Granger Causality to/ shows existence of unidirectional relationship between variables that is accurate, namely amount of money supplies causes the happening of alteration of economic growth in Indonesia, Hereinafter inflation gives its(the influence to economic growth and inflation also causes amount of money supplies in Indonesia during research time line.
ANALISIS FUNDAMENTAL DAN RESIKO SISTEMATIK TERHADAP HARGA SAHAM PERBANKAN YANG TERDAFTAR PADA INDEKS LQ 45 WBBA, Amanda; Pratomo, Wahyu Ario
Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 1, No 3 (2013)
Publisher : Departemen Ekonomi Pembangunan USU

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Abstract

This research aimed to determine the effect of fundamental’s aspect and systematic risk to the stock price of bank on the list of LQ 45. Fundamental analysis is a picture of the bank company’s performance based on fundamental aspects. Systematic risk (BETA) is a risk that affects the market price of the existing shares on the stock exchange. Fundamental analysis is the form of financial ratios and Beta are identified variables could affect the stock price. The variables used in this research are financial ratios, Return on Assets (ROA), Return on Equity (ROE), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), Earning Per Share (EPS) Price Earning Ratio (PER), and Beta. Beta is a risk systematic sensitivity indicator of the stock market. This research used panel data which is a combination of the data time-series and cross-section with multiple linear regression models. The data was then estimated by Fixed Effect Model (FEM) and processed with the program Eviews 7. The results showed that the independent variables, Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), Earning Per Share (EPS), Price Earning Ratio (PER) and BETA significant affected on bank stock prices LQ 45 while the Return On Assets (ROA) and Return on Equity (ROE) not significant affected on bank stock prices LQ 45. The independent variables used in this research are affected the stock price of bank in LQ 45 as the dependent variable with R-square 0.988096 and probability 0.000000. Keywords:  Return On Assets (ROA), Return On Equity (ROE), Debt to Equity    Ratio (DER), Earning Per Share (EPS), Price Earning Ratio (PER), Systematic Risk (BETA)
ANALISIS PEMANFAATAN DANA PENSIUN TERHADAP PEMENUHAN KEBUTUHAN HIDUP PNS PENSIUNAN GURU KOTA MEDAN Tanjung, Muhammad Fahmi; Pratomo, Wahyu Ario
Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 1, No 4 (2013)
Publisher : Departemen Ekonomi Pembangunan USU

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze the use of pension funds for the substistence like needs for food, clothing, housing, health needs and their families and family needs. In this study, the data used are primary data by giving questionnaires to 50 respondents retired teacher in Medan. Respondents answers will be used to answer whether pension funds can fulfill the needs life of PNS retired teacher in Medan. The analysis used is descriptive qualitative analysis. Data analysis techniques using data tabulation of frequency distribution and percentage. The results showed that pensioners living needs during retirement fulfilled. From the results of this research is the income received from pension funds are not sufficient to subsistence. Pensioners get extra income from children and other businesses. From the results of this research is that more pensioners choose to receive a pension funds once the whole than the receiving each month. Keywords: Retirement, basic needs, health needs, the family unit
EFEKTIVITAS PENGGUNAAN ARIMA DAN VAR DALAM MEMPROYEKSI PERMINTAAN KREDIT DI INDONESIA Syarifuddin, Syarifuddin; Pratomo, Wahyu Ario
Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 1, No 6 (2013)
Publisher : Departemen Ekonomi Pembangunan USU

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Abstract

This research was carried out by using ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrate Moving Avarage ) with VAR method (Vector Autoregressive) to see which one more effective in forecasting. From the results of the study may indicate that the ARIMA method is more effective than VARmethod in predicting demand for credit in Indonesia . ARIMA ( 1,1,0 ) is the best model for forecasting the level of the average forecasting error is quite low with a value of 8.70 (RMSE) compared with VAR models . Additionally VAR models using multiple stages to performforecasting models such as VAR , Impulse Response , Variance Decomposition to be done to project the demand for credit . From the research that has been done quantitatively that the ARIMA method is more effective and efficient in making predictions , the stage or the method used is quite simple with accurate results with relatively low error rates with 8.70 (RMSE) . While the VAR method for forecasting the need to use multiple stages in predicting demand for credit , but no measure of the level of error in the method of the VAR model is best for forecasting the ARIMA model .Keywords : Credit, Credit Demand, Forecasting
ANALISIS PENGARUH INDEKS HARGA SAHAM DI BURSA GLOBAL TERHADAP INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN DI BEI Christa, Ruth; Pratomo, Wahyu Ario
Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 1, No 8 (2013)
Publisher : Departemen Ekonomi Pembangunan USU

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Abstract

This research aims to analyze the effect of the global stock price index against IDX Composite Index as well as to determine the proportion of the global stock price index influence either simultaneously or partially. The global stock price index that is used consists of five indices, namely the Dow Jones Industrial Average (USA), FTSE 100 (UK), Nikkei 225 (Japan), Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite (China), and the Hang Seng Index (Hong Kong). The data used are secondary data, which include the fluctuation of Composite Stock Price Index at BEI and the global stock price index for 48 months ( January 2008-December 2011). The analysis model used in this research is Path Analysis. Based on this research during the period January 2008-December 2011 the global stock price index has a significant simultaneous effect on IDX Composite Stock Price Index. Partially out of five global stock price index that is used there are three that have a significant influence, namely Dow Jones Industrial Average (49.7143%), Nikkei 225 (0.9308%) and Hang Seng (38.2936%).Keywords: Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, FTSE 100 Index, Nikkei 225 Index, Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index, Hang Seng Index, and IDX Composite Stock Price Index.
MEKANISME TRANSMISI KEBIJAKAN MONETER MELALUI SUKU BUNGA SBI SEBAGAI SASARAN OPERASIONAL KEBIJAKAN MONETER DAN VARIABEL MAKROEKONOMI INDONESIA Hasibuan, Saida; Pratomo, Wahyu Ario
Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 1, No 12 (2013)
Publisher : Departemen Ekonomi Pembangunan USU

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Abstract

The problems of this study was to analyze the effect of the Money Supply,Exchange Rate and Consumer Price Index to GDP. Analyze the effect of SBI, Import Price Index and the Consumer Price Index GDP. Data analysis using Vector Autoregression (VAR), impluse Response Function (IRF) and Two - Stage Least Squares (TSLS). The data used in this study is secondary data in the form of time series began in 2000: 1 – 2012:12. The result of the analysis  concluded that the monetary policy transmission mechanism through SBI Indonesia can be seen from the structural equation GDP and CPI. Where SBI has a negative impact on the Consumer Price Index. These results suggest thatthe monetary policy variables SBI, Foreign Exchange and Money Supplyinteract with macroeconomic variables, namely GDP, Import Price Index and the Consumer Price Index. With the support of the estimation equations gross domestic product of 88.9 percent, while the estimation equation Consumer Price Index was 52.3 percent. Keywords: Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism Through SBI Indonesia with Macroeconomic Variables.
Analysis of Financial Performance of Newly Created Regencies/Cities in North Sumatera Hidayat, Paidi; Pratomo, Wahyu Ario; Harjito, D. Agus
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Vol 12, No 3 (2007)
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

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This research attempts to analyze the implementation of the regional autonomy in the newly-created regencies/cities in North Sumatra. It focuses on the financial performance of the original regional income (PAD) after the fiscal decentralization and the regional financial independence. The result shows that the regional autonomy has a positive impact on the growth of the PAD. However, the share of the PAD in regional budget is still inadequately small. The newly-created regencies/cities in North Sumatra are not ready to face the regional autonomy policy. Most of the newly-created regencies/municipalities are dependent on the balancing fund through the General Allocation Fund (DAU) and the Special Allocation Fund (DAK).Keywords: regional autonomy, original regional income, fiscal decentralization.
ANALISIS PERAMALAN HARGA SAHAM DALAM KEPUTUSAN INVESTASI PADA PERUSAHAAN PERKEBUNAN DI PT BURSA EFEK INDONESIA Fauziah, Fauziah; Pratomo, Wahyu Ario
Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 2, No 1 (2014)
Publisher : Departemen Ekonomi Pembangunan USU

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Abstract

This study aims to perform the movement Projected of emiten stocks AALI, GZCO, JAVA, LSIP, SGRO, SIMP, SMAR, TBLA, and UNSP and Provides an overview to the investor in making an investment decision on the plantation company in Indonesia Stock Exchange.The data used in this study is a secondary data taken from the Indonesia Stock Exchange which consists of the go public Plantation stocks data from 20 September 2011 to 20 August 2013. The method used is the method of ARIMA with Minitab 16.The results of this study can be concluded that the movement of the stock price forecasting for plantations in Indonesia Stock Exchange is general tend to decrease. technically, it is to take the advantage of short- term momentum , buy on weakness for AALI and JAVA ascending trend, whereas for stock GZCO, LSIP, SGRO, SIMP, SMAR, TBLA, and UNSP the declining trend can take steps to sell. The decline in stock prices caused by lower demand for palm oil due to the global economic crisis.